Last Monday, Senator Antonio Trillanes IV admitted that the defense forces of the country, particularly the navy, cannot meet head to head with China alone when it comes to the point that a war over the much contested islands located in the South China Sea is inevitable.
"We cannot defend ourselves using the Philippine navy alone," said Trillanes IV during an interview last May 11, hours before he left for a trip out of the country for “senate affairs.”
Being a former Navy lieutenant and the chairman of the Senate Committee on National Defense and Security, he assessed that our Navy personnel can defend our territory to some extent if they have up-to-date facilities and arsenal.
Trillanes IV advised that we should accelerate the development of the [Armed Forced of the Philippines] organization for the country to "upgrade" its capacity to protect its territory and constituents.
“I trust our military’s resolve to protect our country’s interest no matter the odds,” proclaimed the senator.
The senator claimed that the Philippine government is determined to modernize our security repertoire through investments of up to date materials and ships.
The total of the national budget devoted to the Philippine Navy last year amounted to 13,874,987,000 alone.
The government devoted a total amount of 13,874,987,000 (in Philippine peso) of the national budget to the Philippine Navy last year with its aim of putting into effect its modernization program.
“Although we would not be engaging in an arms race with China, at least, we will have a minimum credible defense posture or at least minimum deterrent capability,” he stated.
"Let us exhaust all diplomatic channels," Trillanes IV backtracked saying that we could "engage China in a less hostile and antagonistic relationship."
The chance of there being a full-scale war between the countries in the region is low, but a violent confrontation is likely.
Trillanes IV recommended that ties with other countries and regional organizations "like Japan, Korea, the ASEAN, and the United States [of America]" should be strengthened for us to have aid and support if China decides to continue its aggressive actions in the region and the situation worsens.
He said that it is ideal if the claimants of the territories in the South China Sea solve the territorial dispute through bilateral and multilateral negotiations among themselves.
“Right now, since we cannot match the military capability of China, what we can do is to continuously voice out our concern and encourage our neighboring countries to join us in raising awareness to what's happening in the disputed areas, and in pressuring China to stop their activities in the disputed areas, “ explained the senator.
China seems to be against involving nations and organizations outside the region and prefer that only the claimants of the islands be caught up with the matter, which would work to their advantage considering China’s economic and military power is bigger than those of the other countries in the region.
China does not give the impression to be concerned with Japan’s recent activity in the South China Sea since military and navy exercises between the nations in the area are becoming common.
Japan’s decision to participate in the navy exercises signify Japan’s attention to the affairs of its southern neighbors.
Last month, the South China Sea issue was discussed during the 26th ASEAN summit but China rejected the statements and stance of the organization about the said topic claiming that most of the member countries are not involved at the disputes at all, and therefore, the affair is not between China and the ASEAN as a whole but between China and the individual countries it has disagreements with,” as reported by The Diplomat.
The territorial disputes have been going on since the 1970's and the countries involved have yet to find a solution to the problem.
The Philippines have taken the stance to resolve the dispute with the help of the global audience through the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea (ITLOS) after Philippine President Benigno Aquino III's government filed a legal case against China denying its claims on some parts of the South China Sea territories last year.
“The Tribunal’s ruling on whether or not [the Philippines] has jurisdiction in the case will likely come sometime between mid-August and mid-December 2015,” speculated a certain Jay L. Batongbacal, the Director of the UP Institute for Maritime Affairs and Law of the Sea.
Senator Trillanes IV believes that only when all the nations involved in the maritime debate abide by the resolutions handed out by the international court/(s) could the disagreements perhaps be solved.
China refused to sign the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) because it "does not accept any of the procedures provided for in Section 2 of Part XV of the Convention with respect to all categories of disputes,” according to the statement filed by the Chinese government in 2006 as reported by the Huffington Post.
The dispute between China and the Philippines stated when Japan formally declared its abandonment of the Spratly Islands without declaring which country is its successor, leaving it as a nobody’s land, when it signed the Peace Treaty of San Francisco in 1951 with the Allied Powers after the events of World War II.
The Philippines, Brunei and Malaysia assert their claim by geographical proximity or being within their Exclusive Economic Zones, while Vietnam, China and Taiwan present historical evidences of the islands as part of their territory.
The ITLOS is an independent judicial court established by the UNCLOS in 1982 but only started to be active in October 1, 1996.
It is initiated with the intention to make formal judgements on maritime disputes around the world with the interpretation and application of the UNCLOS as its basis.